Graphing Calculator - Population Growth
Project
Population of Gwinnett County, Georgia,
1900-2000, with linear and exponential growth models.
exponential: 
linear: 
In this project, you are going to use the Regression
functions on your calculator to analyze population growth in Georgia.
- Select a county to
study. Using the population charts (from www.census.gov),
record the population data in lists on your calculator. (STAT - EDIT).
Instead of using the actual year, use 0 for 1900, 10 for 1910, and so on.
- Make a scatter
plot of your data. (2nd STAT PLOT, Zoom 9 to see the whole plot).
- Take a look at
your graph. Does it look like the data could be modeled with an exponential
function? Or does it look more like a linear function?
- Do linear,
quadratic, cubic or exponential regression (or all of them!) with your
calculator, according to which you think will make a better model. (STAT
CALC). Be sure that you have DIAGNOSTICS ON so that you can see the
r-values.
- Write down your
equation(s) and r-value(s).
- You can put the
equation directly into o by doing the
following steps:
- press Y=, VARS, 5:Statistics
- use
the right arrow to select EQ
- Select
1: RegEQ, press Enter. (Regression Equation)
- Your
equation will be copied to Y=
- press GRAPH
to see how well this equation fits your data.
- You can use 2nd
Draw – Text to type text onto your screen, such as the county name and
your name.
- Is there anything
you want to change? Would your graph be a better fit if you eliminated
some of the early decades from your data? Make any changes you wish and
re-graph your data.
- When you are
satisfied with your results, save your graph.
- Next, you are going to do some research
about your county’s history at http://www.cviog.uga.edu/Projects/gainfo/county.htm
and see if you can discover why the
population increased or decreased at various times.
- Analyze your
results. Write a good one-page
summary that discusses the growth or decline in population in your
county. Look at your equation and determine the percent of increase or
decrease and include that in your discussion. What factors do you think might
have contributed to the growth or decline? Were there some decades that
did not follow the general growth or decline trend? Predict what the
population will be in the years 2010 and 2020.